The yearly Bitcoin () price candle is set to close in the red, ending 2025 lower than at the start of the year, unless BTC can rise by 6.24% above the yearly open of about $93,374.
“3 days for Bitcoin to recover and close up on the year. If not, this will be the first post-halving year we close in the red. 6.24% required to make this a green candle,” Puckrin .
Bitcoin hit an in October, days before a put a dent in Bitcoin’s rally and dropped crypto prices across the board.
The price of BTC has declined by about 30% since the all-time high and formed a in November, prompting analysts to debate if Bitcoin’s bull rally is over and a .
Market analysts are at odds over whether a recovery will materialize or if the decline will extend into 2026, often focusing on macroeconomic factors and liquidity conditions that drive Bitcoin’s price.
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Bitcoin has been trading well below its 365-day moving average, a critical support level, since November, breaking the structural uptrend that began in 2023.
Lower interest rates are , including cryptocurrencies, which tend to rally with fresh liquidity injections.
The Federal Reserve issued three 25 basis point (BPS) interest rate cuts in 2025; however, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) December meeting.
“There is no risk-free path for policy,” Powell said, casting doubt about another interest rate cut at the next FOMC meeting in January.
Only 18.8% of investors expect an interest rate cut in January, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group’s FedWatch .
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