MSCI’s rule change on newly issued shares reshapes passive demand, raising questions over how Bitcoin-linked treasury companies fund future BTC purchases.
Bitcoin () fell 2.30% on Wednesday, hitting an intraday low near $91,550.
The decline came despite bullish signals, including a $280 million BTC accumulation move and in its benchmark indexes.
MSCI limits passive demand for Strategy’s shares
In the Tuesday announcement, MSCI it will no longer adjust index weightings to reflect newly issued shares.
Previously, when companies like , passive funds tracking MSCI indexes were required to buy a portion of those shares, creating steady demand.
Under the new rules, this automatic buying no longer applies, reducing a key source of passive demand for Strategy’s stock.
Put simply, the Michael Saylor–led company will likely face limits on its ability to raise capital for additional Bitcoin purchases, prompting analyst to say that the “MSCI fooled everyone” with their announcement.
“For those who are thinking this is a small deal, Strategy issued $15 billion+ in new shares in 2025,” he wrote in a Wednesday post, adding:
“If they try to do something similar in 2026, MSTR will face a brutal crash due to no passive buying.”
MSTR’s stock price dropped by 4.10% on Tuesday.
Technicals warn of BTC price losing $90,000 again
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin pulled back after testing the upper trendline of its prevailing ascending triangle pattern.
As of Wednesday, BTC held above its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA, the red wave) at about $91,7000, which acted as near-term support.
However, failure to sustain momentum above this level could expose downside risk toward the $88,000–$89,000 zone in January, aligning with the 20-day EMA (the green wave) and the triangle’s lower trendline.
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A further breakdown below the triangle’s lower boundary will likely result in an extended downtrend toward $79,450, a target measured after subtracting the triangle’s maximum height from the potential breakdown point near $88,300.
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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
