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February and March are both seasonally bullish months for bitcoin, with Q1 being the second-best-performing quarter.
By James Van Straten|Edited by Parikshit Mishra
Jan 31, 2025, 10:47 a.m. UTC
What to know:
- Bitcoin is about to register another double-digit gain, which would see it as the second-best-performing month out of the past ten.
- Historically, February and March are both bullish months for bitcoin, with Q1 being the second-best performing quarter.
As it stands, January is tied as the second-best performing month for bitcoin (BTC) in the past ten months, surpassed only by November 2024, which saw a 37% surge in price after President Trump’s victory in the U.S. election.
It shares second-place with May 2024, both recording an 11% gain, according to Coinglass data.
STORY CONTINUES BELOW
On average, January sees around a 4% gain and has been historically one of the best performing months in past years, with five of the past six January’s registering a green month.
This January has been eventful with President Donald Trump taking office and pushing out many pro-crypto policies.
Looking ahead, February has historically been the third best performing month for bitcoin, registering an average of 16%. Only two times in February has it seen a red month: 2014 and 2020, Coinglass data shows.
Even looking slightly further ahead, March is also a seasonally bullish month for bitcoin, up over 13% on average. As a result, Q1 is historically the second-best quarter for bitcoin, up 53%, just behind Q4’s 85% gain, according to Coinglass.
James Van Straten is a Senior Analyst at CoinDesk, specializing in Bitcoin and its interplay with the macroeconomic environment. Previously, James worked as a Research Analyst at Saidler & Co., a Swiss hedge fund, where he developed expertise in on-chain analytics. His work focuses on monitoring flows to analyze Bitcoin’s role within the broader financial system.
In addition to his professional endeavors, James serves as an advisor to Coinsilium, a UK publicly traded company, where he provides guidance on their Bitcoin treasury strategy. He also holds investments in Bitcoin, MicroStrategy (MSTR), and Semler Scientific (SMLR).
