Investors saw the announcement as a positive catalyst for crypto markets, but the proposed stimulus hinges on a Supreme Court ruling.
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United States President Donald Trump announced on Sunday that most Americans will receive a $2,000 “dividend” from the tariff revenue and criticized the opposition to his sweeping tariff policies.
“A dividend of at least $2000 a person, not including high-income people, will be paid to everyone,” Trump on Truth Social.
The US Supreme Court is currently hearing arguments about the legality of the tariffs, with the overwhelming majority of prediction market traders .
Kalshi traders place the of the Supreme Court approving the policy at just 23%, while Polymarket traders have the at 21%. Trump :
“The president of the United States is allowed, and fully approved by Congress, to stop all trade with a foreign country, which is far more onerous than a tariff, and license a foreign country, but is not allowed to put a simple tariff on a foreign country, even for purposes of national security?”
Investors and market analysts celebrated the announcement as and other asset prices as portions of the stimulus flow into the markets, but also warned of the long-term negative effects of the proposed dividend.
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Investment analysts at The Kobeissi Letter that about 85% of US adults should receive the $2,000 stimulus checks, based on distribution data from the .
While a portion of the stimulus will flow into markets and raise asset prices, Kobeissi Letter warned that the ultimate long-term effect of any economic stimulus will be fiat currency inflation and the loss of purchasing power.
“If you don’t put the $2,000 in assets, it is going to be inflated away or just service some interest on debt and sent to banks,” Bitcoin analyst, author, and advocate Simon Dixon .
“Stocks and Bitcoin only know to go higher in response to stimulus,” investor and market analyst Anthony Pompliano in response to Trump’s announcement.
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