Why Litecoin Might Be the Next Crypto to Get Its ETF

With U.S. President-elect Donald Trump only four days away from inauguration and new leadership coming to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), additional cryptocurrencies may soon join bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) and receive their own spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Of these, litecoin (LTC) is likely to be the first to receive the nod, according to Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, two ETF analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence.

“Canary Funds just filed an amended S-1 for their litecoin ETF filing. No guarantees — but this might be indicative of SEC engagement on the filing,” Seyffart posted on X.

“We had heard chatter that the litecoin S-1 had gotten comments back from the SEC,” Balchunas wrote, adding that the amended filing “bodes well for our prediction that litecoin is most likely to be the next coin approved.”

Why litecoin? With a market capitalization of $8.8 billion, litecoin is only the 11th largest cryptocurrency in the CoinDesk 20 (an index of the top 20 cryptocurrencies excluding stablecoins, memecoins and exchange coins) and 24th biggest coin overall.

But litecoin is a bitcoin fork, meaning that its protocol follows the same basic rules as Bitcoin; it uses a Proof-of-Work consensus mechanism, for example. Importantly, the SEC has never called litecoin a security, contrary to larger cryptocurrencies such as solana (SOL) and ripple (XRP).

“We expect a wave of cryptocurrency ETFs next year, albeit not all at once,” Balchunas wrote in December. “First out is likely the bitcoin and ether combo ETFs, then probably litecoin (because it’s a fork of bitcoin = commodity), then HBAR (because not labeled security) and then XRP/Solana (which have been labeled securities in pending lawsuits).”

Yet the SEC under Paul Atkins is likely to approach the crypto industry in a different way than it has under Gary Gensler, which Balchunas noted was a “huge variable.” Importantly, Canary Funds — which submitted its S-1 filing for a litecoin ETF in October — has yet to file its 19b-4, meaning there is currently no deadline for the SEC to approve or reject the product.