Analyst Asks Whether BTC Will End 2025 in the Green or the Red

The yearly Bitcoin () price candle is set to close in the red, ending 2025 lower than at the start of the year, unless BTC can rise by 6.24% above the yearly open of about $93,374. 

“3 days for Bitcoin to recover and close up on the year. If not, this will be the first post-halving year we close in the red. 6.24% required to make this a green candle,” Puckrin . 

Bitcoin hit an in October, days before a put a dent in Bitcoin’s rally and dropped crypto prices across the board.

The price of BTC has declined by about 30% since the all-time high and formed a in November, prompting analysts to debate if Bitcoin’s bull rally is over and a .

Market analysts are at odds over whether a recovery will materialize or if the decline will extend into 2026, often focusing on macroeconomic factors and liquidity conditions that drive Bitcoin’s price.

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Bitcoin has been trading well below its 365-day moving average, a critical support level, since November, breaking the structural uptrend that began in 2023.

Lower interest rates are , including cryptocurrencies, which tend to rally with fresh liquidity injections.

The Federal Reserve issued three 25 basis point (BPS) interest rate cuts in 2025; however, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) December meeting.

“There is no risk-free path for policy,” Powell said, casting doubt about another interest rate cut at the next FOMC meeting in January.

Only 18.8% of investors expect an interest rate cut in January, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group’s FedWatch .

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